According to data from Freddie Mac, as of the week ending December 7th, the average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has dropped for the sixth consecutive week to 7.03%. This rate is close to the 7% level, significantly lower than the nearly 7.8% six weeks ago.
Sam Khater, Chief Economist at Freddie Mac, suggests that this rapid decline may even indicate that rates in the coming year could be in the range of 6%, a figure not seen since August of the previous year.
The decline in mortgage interest rates means that homebuyers can afford to purchase homes at lower costs. This may stimulate more buyers to enter the market, looking for their ideal homes.
However, at the same time, due to supply constraints and limited housing inventory, buyers may face increased competition. While the decrease in mortgage interest rates helps the purchasing power of homebuyers, it may also exert additional upward pressure on housing prices. Unless seller activity increases accordingly, prices may continue to rise.
Nevertheless, there has been a wave of new listings in the market recently, potentially breaking the ongoing inventory shortage. According to Hannah Jones, Economic Data Manager at Realtor.com®, newly listed properties increased by 5.6% in the week ending December 2nd compared to the same period last year.
This surge in new home listings may indicate that sellers previously "locked in" by low-rate mortgages may start to loosen up, with more sellers willing to list their homes for sale. This is good news for buyers, as they have more choices and opportunities to find their desired homes.
However, it's important to note that despite the increase in newly listed properties, overall inventory remains limited. As winter approaches, buyers and sellers typically enter a dormant phase, and overall inventory tends to decrease.
Although the pace of new listings is still below typical pre-pandemic levels, it is expected that as mortgage interest rates soften, sellers may re-enter the market, increasing housing supply. This will help alleviate the issue of supply shortages and provide more choices for homebuyers.
It's important to note that the real estate market varies by region. While understanding national trends is crucial, for homebuyers, understanding the situation in their specific community is even more critical.
According to Jones' observations, looking ahead to 2024, economically affordable markets in the Northeast and Midwest may experience robust sales and price growth. Meanwhile, the West Coast market is expected to rebound from the slowdown in 2023.